A research platform for new-token launches and established tokens waking up: every alert judged against
a matched control, in public. You are reading the free view.
Read the work before you pay for it:
@signalworkslive on X and
the tape on Telegram, where the same
alerts are published an hour late, each carrying what its alert type has actually been worth.
runs every heuristic now: 30-90 seconds · any chain DexScreener lists; the chain is detected from the address
enter a token address
recent research
when
token
chain
who
score
what that band has done
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pay from your walletpick a term, a chain and an asset; then one click in your wallet, or scan the QR
1 · term
2 · chain
3 · pay with
Each payment gets an exact amount (and, on Solana and for ETH, a reference) so the chain itself tells us it was yours, even from an exchange. That is what the order record below is.
my orders
when
term
chain
amount
status
EverythingNew launchesMomentumEntriesMine
momentumfollowsfunder launcheswallet buyswallet sellscaller postsbots agreewallets consolidatingknown cabal wallets buyingNetwork buyingoff-launchpad launchbots leavinglineagecatalystsentriesundertow · buyingundertow · scored walletsundertow · bots outundertow · liq addedmy exitstargetspositionsclosedoutcomesnewest first · tap for the token
entries: first pullback after a catalyst, buyers holdingthe actionable moment · judged at +6h / +24h from the entry price
when
token
catalyst
cat px
high
entry
retrace
buys/h
+6h max
+6h final
+24h max
+24h final
none yet — needs a catalyst that ran 15%+, then pulled back 15-35% with buyers still active
catalyst eventsa surviving token traded harder than its own normal, with outside evidence, before the price moves
How a catalyst is decided
Trading — two of three, against the token's own hourly baseline: volume at least 3x, buyers at least 2.5x, at least 1.2 buys per sell
Outside evidence — a scored wallet, a scored caller or bot consensus in the last hour
Not already moved — the price is not up more than 25% in the hour or 40% over its baseline, and liquidity is holding
Judged — on its own price log, 6 and 24 hours later
This is rule v2, used since 2026-09-10. Rows without a v2 tag used the old rule and are not counted in the tiles above.
when
token
components
pool age
px vs ref
liq
+6h max
+6h final
+24h max
+24h final
none yet — survivors need an hour of tick history before components can turn
on watch list
wallet
class
n
hits
dead
prec
record
score
× base
lead h
tok/day
last
watch
no ledger yet: the nightly job needs tokens with 24h outcomes
include bot-like
handle
followers
n
hits
dead
prec
score
× base
lead h
last
no caller ledger yet
funder (lineage key)
launches
deployers
scored
dead
hit 3x
verdict
last
no lineages with that many launches yet
fresh poolwallet boughtdev not soldpromo before poolhas outcome
tokens
seen
token
pool age
liq @0
px @2h
px last
max 24h
final 24h
flags
sel/bots
x maxfol
nothing matches
the momentum strategyan established token bought harder than its own average, before its price has moved
How a momentum alert is decided
firingsan established token bought harder than its own average, before the price moved
when
token
chain
age
liq
vol x
buyers
buys/sells
24h then
+6h max
+24h final
nothing yet — the sweep runs every 15 minutes
reading the record…
How to read this. Every alert is compared with a
matched control -- a different token on the same chain, the same number of hours old,
read at the same moment -- so a week when everything went up does not count as a finding.
The bracket is a 90% interval: where the true value probably sits, given how few
firings there are. And nothing is called proven under
30 scored firings that beat that control twice running,
because at smaller numbers luck looks exactly like skill.
what to act on, what to avoidthe two tables below, drawn
Each row is a detector scored from its own firing against a matched control, with its 90% interval; colour is what the record says to do with it. The right-hand chart is the one that settles it: a ratio above 1.00 with an absolute below 1× means the detector picked tokens that lost less than their peers — real, and not the same as a trade that made money.
what each alert has been worthbought at the close of the hour the alert fired, held, against a matched control: a different token on the same chain launched within three days, read at the same age. "sell@3x" takes 3x if it ever traded there, otherwise whatever was left, minus 4% round trip. The 90% interval is the honest part — if it spans 1.00 the sample cannot tell yet.
alert
chain
n
≥2x
dead
median final
sell@3x
control
vs control
90% interval
verdict
data integrityevery number in the log against the rules in Help → Data integrity: bounds on every column, cross-source agreement, derived numbers recomputed from their inputs
check
rows
state
what it means
examples
what each exit has been worthsold at the close of the hour the exit fired, judged on what the token did over the next 24 h against ten matched controls at the same age. "vs control" is the geometric mean of the controls ÷ that of the exits (geometric, because one 50x runner in the draw must not decide the verdict): above 1.00 means the token fell further after this exit than a random token of that age, so heeding it beat holding. "≥2x after" is the rule's cost.
exit
chain
n
median 24h after
mean
≤0.5x after
≥2x after
control median
control geo mean
vs control
90% interval
verdict
early entry: every rule tested
How this works
what each score band has been worthevery pooled token gets the quick score at its 2h snapshot; each band is bought at that hour and held. The bands are each other's controls. A band below 30 tokens is shown but the score label calls it uncalibrated.
band
chain
n
≥2x
≥3x
dead
median final
sell@3x
chainseach chain is its own forward log with its own base rate; click a row to see its flag table below. "lite" = market, promotion, candles and outcomes only
outcomes by flag (fresh promoted pools, vs this chain's base rate)
market regime, hourlyrunner rate = share of 24h outcomes in the trailing day that reached 2x